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- TSMCQ3 guide +18% YoY · AI demand cited
- NVDABlackwell yield reported at 92%
- NVDAAug $1,250 calls trade 4× volume
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Pre-market move is a clean read-through from TSMC's Q3 guide (+18% YoY, AI cited) — direct supplier signal. Confirmed by NVDA's own GM trend (75.7%, +260 bps QoQ) and a 4H cup-and-handle break at $1,180.
Setup quality: still high. RSI 64 (not overbought), volume 1.6× MA(20), no earnings or material filing in next 7 sessions. I'd watch a pullback to $1,162 for entry.
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